When it will not be the biggest combat sports event of the summer, UFC 214 is certainly the biggest MMA event of the season. On top of this Jon Jones-Daniel Cormier rematch, the card includes two extra title charms, contenders and entertaining battles throughout.
Brad Taschuk of all MMAOddsBreaker.com, takes a peek at where the betting odds have moved for all 12 fights since launching lines (indicated in brackets) were released and he provides his ideas on each matchup. All lines are courtesy of 5Dimes Sportsbook.
Jon Jones (-280) vs. Daniel Cormier (+220)
Jones was a -170 favored first time these two fought and a few naively anticipated the lineup could be similar this time around. However, it appears that Jones’ legal issues, run-in with USADA and layoff has not had the impact expected on the line. It is hard to blame bettors Cormier is currently 38-years-old, has been through some hard battles since their first meeting, and Jones won each aspect of that first fight. Expect something like – if not dominant – this time around.
Regardless of how badly he takes his groundwork, Jones is the kind of fighter who rises to the occasion like others. To him, this is the greatest event. Cormier is his main rival and he’s the opportunity to recover the belt that he never lost against him. That combination will result in a huge performance from Jones. Expect him to dispatch Cormier and re-assert his dominance at the branch.
Tyron Woodley (-210) vs. Demian Maia (+160)
Much like the main event, this line has not seen much movement. Given the contrasting styles, that is not hard to believe. There’s a contingent of people who think that Woodley is going to starch Maia with the first punch he yells. They could very well be right. The opposing side of this coin consists of those who believe that Maia can shut the space, latch onto Woodley such as he has so many others and just dominate with his grappling. They could be right too. Woodley’s tendency to back himself against the cage and perform counter-puncher will be his demise here. Maia has gotten so good at going into the clinch when not under pressure that he ought to be able to create Woodley miss after. Even against a high level wrestler the likes of Woodley, after Maia gets his hands on you, that is a world of trouble.
The Brazilian’s capacity to commence Jiu-Jitsu exchanges without hitting traditional takedowns is next to none (he has perfected the only leg to back take) and Woodley being the type of guy who likes to explode from positions will only hurt him after that happens. It is sort of surprising that Maia by Sub pays an extra dollar (+275 at Thursday morning), because Woodley will not have the ability to survive 25 minutes of Maia engaging in the sort of fight he wants to. The other choice is probably a quick Woodley KO (+350 for the champ at Round 1, incidentally ).
Cristiane « Cyborg » Justino (-1200) vs. Tonya Evinger (+600)
This fight being bettable depends on which type of bettor you are. In case you don’t have any issue throwing a massive line in a parlay, the Cyborg moneyline (at nearly -1400), or Cyborg ITD (almost -700) are nearly sure things. If that is not really your style, neither will probably be placing nearly 2-to-1 on a prop such as Cyborg Round 1.
The only case I could make for a play is based on Evinger’s resilience. She has taken damage in many of her struggles and persevered and she probably won’t come back to conquer Cyborg in this one after a rough start, there’s an external shot she can endure five minutes. But even the costs for »Fight Starts Round two » and Cyborg Round 2 have dropped substantially (down to +150 and +450, respectively), making them less attractive even to somebody who’s constantly on the hunt for some round robin legs.
Robbie Lawler (-175) vs. Donald Cerrone (+135)
It is a shame this fight is taking place after both men have seemingly passed their peak concerning durability, since a war with Lawler and Cerrone at their best would be something to behold. This fight will come down to space direction and in-fight choices. Lawler wants to be inside, Cerrone would like to be outside. The difficulty for Cerrone is that Lawler’s constant pressure will eventually see him get indoors and at that point, expect Cerrone to be far too ready to oblige him that the war he’s looking for. While this will give us the kind of struggle we would like to see, don’t expect it to end well for Cerrone.
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juillet 9, 2019 - Non classé